K-State AgManager.info website
  About     Contributors     Useful links     Site map      Feedback  

 

K-State AgManager.info website
Agribusiness
Crops
Energy
Farm Management
Human Resources
Income Tax & Law
Livestock & Meat
Policy (including
2008 Farm Bill
)
--------------------
Ag Econ News
Contributors
Programs
Sponsors
Upcoming Events
--------------------
SIGN-UP for Weekly Email Updates
   Home / Crops / Insurance / Price Risk Management

Disclaimer: This web page is designed to aid farmers with their marketing and risk management decisions. The risk of loss in trading futures, options, forward contracts, and hedge-to-arrive can be substantial and no warranty is given or implied by the author or any other party. Each farmer must consider whether such marketing strategies are appropriate for his or her situation. This web page does not represent the views of Kansas State University. 
Disclosure:
  Dr. Barnaby’s research was the basis for the privately developed Crop Revenue Coverage.

Estimated Weighted National Average Price and    
Projected Counter Cyclical Payments (12/01/03)    
  Wheat (03/04)     Corn (03/04)  
Estimated Monthly     Estimated Monthly  
Month Weight Price   Month Weight Price  
Jun 14.2 3.08   Sep 8.6 2.20  
Jul 18.9 2.95   Oct 13.8 2.12  
Aug 11.6 3.34   Nov 10.9 2.24  
Sep1 8.5 3.39   Dec 7.1 2.36  
Oct 6.3 3.45   Jan 14.0 2.39  
Nov 4.9 3.69   Feb 6.3 2.40  
Dec 7.0 3.61   Mar 7.3 2.41  
Jan 8.5 3.54   Apr 5.5 2.45  
Feb 4.9 3.49   May 5.2 2.39  
Mar 5.6 3.47   Jun 5.7 2.33  
Apr 4.6 3.53   Jul 7.3 2.25  
May 4.5 3.43   Aug 8.3 2.27  
KSU Est Avg Price 3.30       2.30  
Strike Price   3.34       2.32  
Exp. Counter Cyclical Pymt 0.04       0.02  
USDA Est Avg Price2 3.10-3.40       1.90-2.30  
  Milo (03/04)     Soybeans (03/04)  
Estimated Monthly     Estimated Monthly  
Month Weight Price   Month Weight Price  
Sep 7.8 3.97   Sep 7.6 6.06  
Oct 13.2 3.92   Oct 22.5 6.94  
Nov 14.1 4.04   Nov 8.8 7.12  
Dec 14.4 4.08   Dec 7.4 7.19  
Jan 11.0 4.11   Jan 14.0 7.23  
Feb 4.9 4.21   Feb 6.8 7.08  
Mar 4.9 4.16   Mar 7.5 7.10  
Apr 2.9 4.22   Apr 5.5 7.17  
May 3.1 4.14   May 4.8 7.33  
Jun 6.3 4.31   Jun 4.6 7.36  
Jul 8.0 4.25   Jul 5.4 7.35  
Aug 9.3 4.29   Aug 5.1 7.42  
KSU Est Avg Price 4.11       7.07  
Strike Price   3.91       5.36  
Exp. Counter Cyclical Pymt 0.00       0.00  
USDA Est Avg Price2 3.48-4.20       6.05-6.95  
             
  Cotton (03/04)          
Estimated Monthly          
Month Weight Price          
Aug 3.9 0.463          
Sep 4.3 0.557          
Oct 9.0 0.680          
Nov 15.3 0.641          
Dec 17.8 0.646          
Jan 16.0 0.618          
Feb 9.3 0.620          
Mar 6.9 0.610