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   Home / Crops / Insurance / Price Risk Management

Disclaimer: This web page is designed to aid farmers with their marketing and risk management decisions. The risk of loss in trading futures, options, forward contracts, and hedge-to-arrive can be substantial and no warranty is given or implied by the author or any other party. Each farmer must consider whether such marketing strategies are appropriate for his or her situation. This web page does not represent the views of Kansas State University. 

Estimated Weighted National Average Price and  
Projected Counter Cyclical Payments (03/31/04)  
  Wheat (03/04)     Corn (03/04)
Estimated Monthly     Estimated Monthly
Month Weight Price   Month Weight Price
Jun 14.2 3.08   Sep 8.6 2.20
Jul 18.9 2.95   Oct 13.8 2.12
Aug 11.6 3.34   Nov 10.9 2.20
Sep 8.5 3.39   Dec 7.1 2.32
Oct 6.3 3.45   Jan1 14.0 2.39
Nov 4.9 3.59   Feb 6.3 2.61
Dec 7.0 3.71   Mar 7.3 2.79
Jan1 8.5 3.68   Apr 5.5 2.84
Feb 4.9 3.50   May 5.2 2.77
Mar 5.6 3.71   Jun 5.7 2.70
Apr 4.6 3.77   Jul 7.3 2.60
May 4.5 3.66   Aug 8.3 2.63
KSU Est Avg Price 3.35       2.45
Strike Price   3.34       2.32
Exp. Counter Cyclical Pymt 0.00       0.00
USDA Est Avg Price2 3.30-3.40       2.35-2.55
  Milo (03/04)     Soybeans (03/04)
Estimated Monthly     Estimated Monthly
Month Weight Price   Month Weight Price
Sep 7.8 3.97   Sep 7.6 6.06
Oct 13.2 3.99   Oct 22.5 6.61
Nov 14.1 4.13   Nov 8.8 7.05
Dec 14.4 4.21   Dec 7.4 7.17
Jan1 11.0 4.36   Jan1 14.0 7.34
Feb 4.9 4.76   Feb 6.8 8.28
Mar 4.9 4.86   Mar 7.5 9.56
Apr 2.9 4.94   Apr 5.5 9.65
May 3.1 4.83   May 4.8 9.87
Jun 6.3 5.04   Jun 4.6 9.91
Jul 8.0 4.96   Jul 5.4 9.90
Aug 9.3 5.02   Aug 5.1 9.99
KSU Est Avg Price 4.45       7.91
Strike Price   3.91       5.36
Exp. Counter Cyclical Pymt 0.00       0.00
USDA Est Avg Price2 4.20-4.55       7.15-7.55
  Cotton (03/04)          
Estimated Monthly          
Month Weight Price          
Aug 3.9 0.463          
Sep 4.3 0.557          
Oct 9.0 0.680          
Nov 15.3 0.634          
Dec 17.8 0.641          
Jan 16.0 0.625          
Feb 9.3 0.627          
Mar1 6.9 0.618          
Apr 4.7 0.605          
May 4.4 0.603          
Jun 4.6 0.622          
Jul 3.8 0.637          
KSU Est Avg Price3 0.6235          
Strike Price   0.6573          
Exp. Counter Cyclical Pymt 0.0338