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AgManager Crop Marketing Basis Maps
   Home / Crops / Marketing / Basis Report
Crops: Basis & Basis Deviation Maps
 

This monthly basis report provides a spatial analysis of crop basis in the Great Plains Region: Kansas, Nebraska, Missouri, Oklahoma, and parts of Colorado and Texas.  Basis is calculated by subtracting the nearby futures price from the cash price, where nearby is defined as the futures contract closest to expiration without going into the delivery month.  Basis captures the effects of local supply and demand, as well as transportation costs, on commodity prices. 
The maps in this report are created from cash and futures prices that are collected and analyzed on the third Wednesday of each month.  The basis maps in this report show current basis levels for soybeans, corn, wheat, and grain sorghum (grain sorghum basis is calculated using the corn futures market).  The basis deviation maps show the difference between the current basis and the three-year historical average basis for the same week and location.
Cash price data were collected for 325-450 locations, depending on the crop, and the information was analyzed in a Geographic Information System (GIS).  Inverse distance methods were used to estimate the change in basis over space, which provides an estimate of the basis for observed and unobserved locations.  A flag on the map denotes a location where cash prices were available.  Care should be taken in interpreting basis estimates in portions of the Great Plains region where few or no cash prices were available.

Kevin Dhuyvetter, K-State Agricultural  Economics (785-532-3527; kcd@ksu.edu)
 
Crop Basis Maps: 4-20-2005

Link to Historical Basis Reports

Provided by K-State University Agricultural Economics

Daily Corn & Soybean Basis Maps for Iowa
Provided by The Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD), ISU, Dept of Economics

 
 

Soybeans

 

 

 

 

Cash Price, $/bu.

Basis, $/bu.

Futures Price, $/bu.

Average

$5.92

-$0.432

$6.37

Minimum

$5.30

-$1.065

 

Maximum

$6.42

$0.025

 

Number of Locations:

 

386

 

Soybean Basis Soybean Basis Deviation

Click on map to enlarge image

Soybean Futures:  The CBT May 05 soybean futures contract closed at $6.37 on 4/20/2005, up from this time last month(3/16/2005) by -$0.37/bu.  The Wednesday close was -$2.99/bu. from last year (4/21/2004), when prices rose up to a 13-year high of $10.52 on March 24, 2004.

Soybean Basis:  The average cash price across 386  locations in the Great Plains was $5.92 , with a minimum price of $5.30 and a maximum of $6.42 /bu.  Basis levels averaged --$0.432 with Missouri, central and eastern Nebraska, eastern Kansas and eastern Oklahoma reporting above average prices.  Weaker basis levels as low as -$1.065 appeared in the western portion of the Great Plains.

Soybean Basis Deviation:   Nebraska saw the most positive level of the region -$0.12 from the historical average. Basis levels in much of Missouri were about 1 - 2 cents weaker than the three year average. On average across the rest of the area, basis levels were below the three-year historical average but southeast Missouri, and some pockets in Kansas and Oklahoma reported average levels.

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Corn

 

 

 

 

Cash Price, $/bu.

Basis, $/bu.

Futures Price, $/bu.

Average

$1.89

-$0.223

$2.11

Minimum

$1.65

-$0.455

 

Maximum

$2.68

$0.575

 

Number of Locations:

 

442

 

Corn Basis Corn Basis Deviation

Click on map to enlarge image

Corn Futures:  The CBT May 05 corn futures contract closed at $2.11  on 4/20/2005, up from this time last month (3/16/2005) by -$0.15/bu.  The Wednesday close was  -$0.94/bu from the same time last year (4/21/2004).

Corn Basis:  Cash prices averaged $1.89  across the 442  Great Plains locations and ranged from a high of $2.68 to a low of $1.65 /bu.  Basis levels averaged -$0.223 and were the weakest in Nebraska, northern and eastern Kansas and most of Missouri.  Southwest Kansas, eastern Colorado, and the Oklahoma/Texas  Panhandle followed last month's trend with the strongest basis levels relative to other locations.

Corn Basis Deviation:   On average, across all locations, basis deviation levels were -$0.11 from the three-year historical average. The center of the region was about 8-11 cents weaker while the perimeter of the Great Plains were closest to the three-year historical average, falling between 1-3 below average.

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Wheat

 

 

 

 

Cash Price, $/bu.

Basis, $/bu.

Futures Price, $/bu.

Average

$3.00

-$0.288

$3.29

Minimum

$2.31

-$0.975

 

Maximum

$3.66

$0.375

 

Number of Locations:

 

348

 

Wheat Basis Wheat Basis Deviation

Click on map to enlarge image

Wheat Futures:  The KCBT May 05 wheat futures contract closed at $3.29 on (4/20/2005), -$0.34 up from this time last month.  The Wednesday close was -$0.77from the same week last year (4/21/2004)

Wheat Basis:  Cash prices averaged $3.00 across 348 locations in the Great Plains region.  The high cash price observed was $3.66 and the low price was $2.31 /bu.  Basis levels averaged -$0.288 across all locations.  Stronger basis levels were seen in central and eastern Kansas, eastern Oklahoma and portions of Colorado, while the Oklahoma/Texas panhandles, most of Nebraska and western Kansas basis levels were weaker.

Wheat Basis Deviation:   On average, across all locations, basis levels were stable. Eastern Oklahoma, central Colorado, central and southeast Kansas basis levels were -$0.09 from the historical averages, while much of Nebraska was 1 - 8 cents weaker. The Oklahoma/Texas panhandle, western Kansas and northeast Kansas showed basis levels that ranged from 3 to 4 cents above the three-year historical average.

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Grain Sorghum

 

 

 

 

Cash Price, $/bu.

Basis, $/bu.

Futures Price, $/bu.

Average

$1.66

-$0.451

$2.11

Minimum

$1.11

-$0.995

 

Maximum

$2.15

$0.023

 

Number of Locations:

 

318

 

Grain Sorghum Basis Grain Sorghum Basis Deviation

Click on map to enlarge image

Corn Futures:  The CBT May 05 corn futures contract closed at $2.11  on 4/20/2005, up from this time last month (3/16/2005) by -$0.15/bu.  The Wednesday close was  -$0.94/bu from the same time last year (4/21/2004).

Grain Sorghum Basis:  Cash prices averaged $1.66 across 318 locations and ranged from a high of $2.15  to a low of $1.11 /bu.  Basis averaged -$0.451 across all locations but eastern Missouri, Colorado, Texas faired better. The Great Plains were divide throughout the three sections with eastern and western portions showing stronger levels than the mid-section. Basis levels were weaker in western Missouri, most of Kansas and central to eastern Nebraska.

Grain Sorghum Basis Deviation:  The basis levels observed this week averaged -$0.18 from the three-year historical average across all locations.   Basis levels from Nebraska through Oklahoma were 20 - 30 cents weaker while eastern Colorado and Missouri were 10 to 20 cents weaker than the historical three-year average.

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Department of Agricultural Economics   K-State Research & Extension   College of Agriculture   Kansas State University