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Selling Covered Puts on
Soybeans
Dr. Barnaby,
I purchased and
viewed the recorded webinar on crop insurance. I have purchase full RP for
both corn and soybeans. I have begun to sell Dec puts to hedge the corn
side. I wasn't clear from the presentation what the best solution is on the
soybean side of things? I apologize if you already laid it out and I missed
it somehow.
Thanks,
Corn/Bean Grower
Dear Grower
For example, a farmer
with a 100,000 bushel soybean APH and 80% Revenue Protection (RP) coverage
would generate an 80,000 bushels guarantee, 16 Yields Adjusted Asian puts,
and 16 Yields Adjusted Asian calls. Assuming you are in a state with a RP
soybean base price of $13.49, then the effective strike price would be 80% X
$13.49 = $10.79. At $10.79 the deductible in RP would be zero and if yield
is less than the APH yield, RP would make indemnity payments.
You could sell a put
as high as a $11.40 strike price for 61 cents and be covered with insurance
indemnities or production exceeding the APH, based on today’s market.
The effective strike
price is $10.79 for 80% coverage RP on soybeans.
Sell up to 1/3 of the
Yield Adjusted Asian puts in RP on the CME, in this example 5 CME puts or
less at strike price of $11.40 or less.
Results from selling
CME $11.40 November put for 61 cents:
1.
If fall price > $11.40, CME put
expires worthless.
2.
If fall price < $11.40; > $10.79,
the CME 61 cent put premium covers margin losses.
3.
If fall price < $10.79; the RP pays
indemnity payments if yield is equal to APH yield or less, i.e. a zero
deductible; or margin losses are coverage with production exceeding the APH.
You would have less
risk if you sold $10.80 puts for 41 cents but the returns are less. If you
sell puts with a strike greater than $10.80, then you are counting on the
put premium to cover net margin losses because the RP with an average yield
does not start covering margin losses unit the price falls below $10.79.
Note, if you purchased
85% RP soybean coverage, then your effective RP strike price is 85% X $13.49
= $11.47. However, If purchased 75% RP soybean coverage, then your
effective RP strike price is 75% X $13.49 = $10.12. Therefore, higher RP
coverages allows farmers to cover a higher strike price on put sales.
Thank you for
participating in the webinar. If you have any additional questions please
contact me.
Art
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