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February 14, 2012
ag … Pasture Conditions (was 4% in 2010)…
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U S ALL … 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Mil. Tons
G-NP-22
01/12/12Livestock …
August 1, 2021
General Sessions
OUTLOOK
https://www.agmanager.info/events/risk‐and‐profit‐conference
Quarterly Forecasts … 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Mil. Head$ Per Cow
COW … 2021
Data Source: USDA‐AMS
Livestock Marketing Information Center
Historical and Projected Kansas Feedlot Net Returns (as of 8/12/21’) (http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/outlook/newsletters/FinishingReturns/default.asp)
Representative Barometer for Trends in Profitability
June 21’: +$12/steer
LOTS OF INDUSTRY ISSUES – …
2021 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
OUTLOOK
https://www.agmanager.info/events/risk‐and‐profit‐conference
Quarterly Forecasts … 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Mil. Head$ Per Cow
COW … 2021
Data Source: USDA‐AMS
Livestock Marketing Information Center
Historical and Projected Kansas Feedlot Net Returns (as of 8/12/21’) (http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/outlook/newsletters/FinishingReturns/default.asp)
Representative Barometer for Trends in Profitability
June 21’: +$12/steer
LOTS OF INDUSTRY ISSUES – …
January 1, 2009
Animal ID & Traceability
The first set of scenarios compare doing nothing (status quo) to adopting
full animal tracing for just the bovine sector. The bovine sector is the
focus here because it is it the sector among bovine, porcine, ovine, and
poultry that would incur the largest adoption cost of NAIS practices.
Under the status quo scenarios, we further explore what the impacts are
if by doing nothing we also lose export market access. We are likely to
lose export market access over time if we do not adopt NAIS practices,
even without any major market or major animal disease event, because
the international marketplace is making animal identification and tracing
systems the norm and any country that does not conform will have less
market access.
Table 2 summarizes the total loss per head to producers in the beef
sector, after all markets adjust as a result of not adopting NAIS practices
(i.e., status quo) under 0%, 10%, 25%, and 50% permanent export
market losses for beef. If we do nothing to adopt NAIS, and nothing
happens to export markets, the result is no cost, no market loss. If we do
nothing and we lose market access, which we believe is likely, the beef
industry will suffer losses. The losses would amount to $18.25 per head if
we do not adopt NAIS and we lose 25% of export market share. To put
this into perspective, this would be about like losing access to the South
Korean export market at 2003 export market shares.
Table 2. Net Annual Loss in Beef Producer Surplus from Status Quo
with Varying Export Market Losses
Export Market Loss Incurred
0% …