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December 1, 2015
KFMA Newsletters
As I write this, there are piles of grain on the ground in many areas of the state, market prices for grain below the cost of
production, uncertainty in the tax laws as we plan for the end of the year, reduced working capital and eroding debt
repayment capacity for many farms... all part of the current agriculture management environment. These are also
reminders to each of us of the importance of careful planning and consideration as management decisions are made.
Those of us working within the KFMA program and in the Agricultural Economics Department greatly appreciate the
efforts of those working on the farms and ranches of Kansas. We are thankful for the opportunity to provide farm
management information to farm decision makers through this newsletter and through delivery of the KFMA Program.
The KFMA motto is “Building Strong Relationships…Producing Excellence” and we desire to use this newsletter as a way
of building our relationship with you and to provide you with information that helps you achieve excellence. The KFMA
E‐Newsletter is sent quarterly throughout the year. This issue provides information on farm profitability, measuring
financial health, and the importance of understanding your farm’s current financial position and debt repayment ability.
Finally, we provide you with some guidance toward year‐end tax planning and management.
Further information can be found on the extension agricultural economics website at www.agmanager.info and the
KFMA website at www.agmanager.info/kfma. I would welcome any comments that you feel will be helpful for the KFMA
program to excel in our work with the farm families of Kansas as we seek to help you know your numbers, use your
numbers, and reach your goals. Till next time…
Kevin
…
January 1, 2009
Animal ID & Traceability
The first set of scenarios compare doing nothing (status quo) to adopting
full animal tracing for just the bovine sector. The bovine sector is the
focus here because it is it the sector among bovine, porcine, ovine, and
poultry that would incur the largest adoption cost of NAIS practices.
Under the status quo scenarios, we further explore what the impacts are
if by doing nothing we also lose export market access. We are likely to
lose export market access over time if we do not adopt NAIS practices,
even without any major market or major animal disease event, because
the international marketplace is making animal identification and tracing
systems the norm and any country that does not conform will have less
market access.
Table 2 summarizes the total loss per head to producers in the beef
sector, after all markets adjust as a result of not adopting NAIS practices
(i.e., status quo) under 0%, 10%, 25%, and 50% permanent export
market losses for beef. If we do nothing to adopt NAIS, and nothing
happens to export markets, the result is no cost, no market loss. If we do
nothing and we lose market access, which we believe is likely, the beef
industry will suffer losses. The losses would amount to $18.25 per head if
we do not adopt NAIS and we lose 25% of export market share. To put
this into perspective, this would be about like losing access to the South
Korean export market at 2003 export market shares.
Table 2. Net Annual Loss in Beef Producer Surplus from Status Quo
with Varying Export Market Losses
Export Market Loss Incurred
0% …
October 1, 2015
USDA METSS Project
1)
where S is the nominal exchange rate, P is the U.S. price level and P* is the price level in the country of
interest, say Ghana. When the real exchange rate is appreciating, it means the U.S. price of the bundle
3
of goods in the basket is increasing relative to the Ghanaian price. Now, when the real exchange rates
appreciates, then the real value of the dollar has depreciated, suggesting a decline in its purchasing
power, relatively speaking.
To get to know how Q affects the poverty level, it is necessary to try to understand the factors that
influence changes in Q. The real exchange rate between the currencies of the two countries may
change when there is a change in the relative demand for U.S. goods as a result of preference shift,
leading to total expenditure on U.S. goods increasing. The shift may arise from two principal sources.
An increase in global private and public demand for U.S. goods is one source of such shifts. This shift is
exacerbated when the relative increase in demand for U.S. goods is much higher than the increase in
demand for Ghana goods. In an increasingly interconnected world, imports tend to account increasing
share of development countries’ consumption. Another source of the shift is an increase in U.S.
Government expenditure on U.S. goods, an event that increases during rec …
that is contingent on future events• A formal claim follows … 1040X
oMust be filed on paper, cannot be efiledo Used to … for efiling•EZ – for Paper filing
•Under 250,000 …