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August 1, 2017
Breakout Sessions
years 2016-mid 2017, repeated events of “non-convergence” … or “load out”). In other words,
the intent was to … large increase in wheat and other grain inventories held at …
October 1, 2022
2022 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
safety net
Production Risk:
Events such as disease or
weather … government
cost share
LRP: other details
• Cattle: 12,000 … separate source of risk
LGM: other details
• If LGM timing …
March 17, 2015
Grain Market Outlook
lihood of corn futures prices rallying above say $5.00 before spring
planting appear limited – unless unexpected, substantial crop production or export availability problems occur
in other major coarse grain produc … ember
29th (corresponding to a high of $4.25 ¼ for the CME MAY 2015 corn contract that same day) before declining
to a low of $3.65 ¾ by January 30th. Then after trading higher to $3.91 ¾ on February 9th, the CME MARCH
2015 corn contract closed on February 27th at $3.84 ½. During this same period of time the CME MAY corn
futures contract traded as high as to $4.00 on February 9th before closing at $3.93 ¼ on February 27th. After
the December 9th highs, neither the MARCH 2015 nor the MAY 2015 corn futures contracts have traded above
$4.00 per bushel – at least through Friday, March 13th.
The CME MAY 2015 corn contract is now the “lead” corn futures contract, representing current grain
market price prospects through late April 2015. Local basis adjustments are currently being made off MAY
2015 corn futures for spot cash corn and grain sorghum price bids in North America as well as other World
grain markets. T …
December 31, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
elped to mitigating this factor.
Although the existing “large supply and tight storage availability” situation predominates in local Kansas grain
sorghum and corn markets in late December 2016, it is a positive sign that usage of these crops has provided
enough market support so that Kansas cash prices have not fallen down to USDA loan rate – price support
levels during the 2016 harvest and immediate post‐harvest period.
Other market factors to conside …
December 21, 2017
Grain Market Outlook
owever, the USDA maintains its optimism for “new crop” MY 2017/18 U.S. corn exports
because of a) low U.S. corn prices, b) expectations of significantly tighter foreign stocks and percent (%)
stocks‐to‐use for corn, and c) the eventual “using up” of competing South American corn exports in early 2018.
Early forecasts are for 2018 Brazilian corn production to be 95 million metric tons (mmt) in this marketing
year with harvests lasting from February through May. Early forecasts are for 2018 Argentina corn production
to be 42 mmt in this marketing year with harvests lasting from March through May. However, dry conditions
may limit 2018 corn production in Argentina and southern Brazil – and subsequently support U.S. corn exports.
Fourth, a continuing threat exists of U.S. and Foreign economic and/or financial system disruptions that
could impact grain, energy, and other commodity markets in 2018 …
August 30, 2023
Recent Videos
are dependent on market and other factors for completion.
Current … in the past, an El Niño event has developed around 70 … as occurs during El Niño events.
Southern Oscillation IndexThe …
General Sessions
of these record-high price events was short-lived --
less … We
ight
Australia New Zealand Canada/Mex Other
1 7
U.S. Beef, Veal and … But no more so than some other
years in the cycle
3 4
1951 …
November 11, 2013
Marketing Publications
to the farmer).
On the other hand, entering into a forward … by crop insurance in the event of crop loss.1 Elevators …
August 1, 2017
Breakout Sessions
assistance
Farmers also have lots of other mean to manage risk through … duration of time, until an
event of interest happen
1) Kaplan-Meier …
August 1, 2021
General Sessions
OUTLOOK
https://www.agmanager.info/events/risk‐and‐profit‐conference
Quarterly Forecasts … North Platte, NE new plant 1,500/hd/day • Many other announcements
Correlation of Slaughter Capacity Utilization & Relative Prices (Live Steer vs Comp. Boxed Beef) = ‐0.86
Also note this strong correlation makes no adjustment for cost changes (e.g. COVID PPE etc.)
2005‐2020 Simple Average: Live Steer Prices are 60.5% of Comp. Boxed Beef Price …