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November 21, 2017
Grain Market Outlook
ovide updated 2017 U.S. corn production numbers in its upcoming January 12, 2018 USDA Crop
Production report.
It continues to be true that any significant corn futures or cash market price rallies through winter 2017‐
2018 on into early Spring 2018 are likely to be limited by ending stocks of U.S. corn in the 2.2 …
March 22, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
erican and U.S. soybean crops. The current market oversupply situation is illustrated by 28% growth in
World soybean stocks from 61.7 mmt (22.4% stocks/use) in the 2013/14 marke … ting year up to 78.9 mmt
(25.0% stocks/use) in the “current cr … pward trend in World soybean production (up 7.3% annually) has
“out‐paced” the increase in World soybean use (up 6.0% per year), leading to record World soybean ending
stocks and growth in percent ending …
May 18, 2015
Grain Market Outlook
… tion and 15.472 bb total supplies in “current” MY 2014/15. Projected MY 2015/16 total corn usage of
13.760 bb is a reco … and feed and residual use of
5.300 bb (up 50 mb vs last year). Ending stocks are forecast at 1.746 bb …
November 20, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
… than a year ago but still the third highest on record, and c) World wheat ending stocks and percent
ending stocks‐to‐use would be at th … pcoming January 12, 2015 USDA NASS Crop Production Annual Summary report.
USDA U.S. Wheat Forecast for “New Crop” MY 2014/15: The USDA projected lower 2014 U.S. wheat
production, reduced wheat total use, an increase in ending stocks and % stocks‐to‐use, and lower pric …
June 16, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
e, and d) the possibility of more abundant U.S. feedgrain
supplies in 2014 “hanging over the market” and further limiting U.S. and foreign wheat feeding.
USDA U.S. Wheat Forecast for “New Crop” MY 2014/15: The USDA projected smaller U.S. wheat production,
reduced usage, an increase in U.S. wheat % …
June 24, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
in World soybean production (up 6.6% annually) which will have “out‐paced” the increase in World
soybean use (up 5.9% per year) if it holds true. However, the shortfall in South American’s soybean production
in “current” MY 2015/16 has at least temporarily interrupted these trends, and has caused projected World
soybean ending stocks and percent ending …
July 19, 2017
Grain Market Outlook
both marginally lower than the record high levels of “old crop” MY 2016/17.
Second, that World wheat exports will also trend marginally lower to 178.4 mmt in the “new crop” 2017/18
marketing year – down from a record high of 181.6 mmt last year, but up from 172.9 mmt two years ago.
Third, that World wheat ending stocks would be a record high …
September 18, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
… d feed and residual use of 5.325 bb (up 250 mb). “New crop” ending stocks were also raised
to 2.0 … …
June 18, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
along with staff projections of record high 2014 U.S. corn yields and production –
figures that are still uncertain. For “new crop” MY 2014/15, the USDA projected record high U.S. and World
corn production, moderating usage, higher ending …
May 14, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
t exporters Russia and the Ukraine, and d) the possibility of more abundant U.S.
feedgrain supplies in 2014 “hanging over the market” and limiting U.S. and foreign wheat feeding.
USDA U.S. Wheat Forecast for “New Crop” MY 2014/15: The USDA projected smaller U.S. wheat production,
reduced usage, an increase in U.S. wheat …