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October 2, 2017
2017 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
Crop
• Large Supplies & Stocks are limiting Feedgrain Price$’s
• … ‘15/16)
U.S. Corn & Grain Sorghum Stocks…..
• Corn: “Large”Stocks & % Stx/Use
o EndStocks 2017/18 2.340 bln bu …
December 31, 2020
Grain Market Outlook
However, percent (%) ending stocks-to-use has declined significantly … “World-Less-China” corn ending stocks andstocks-to-use
for “current” … World coarse grain ending stocks of 318.78 mmt, and 21.83 …
July 15, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
… … 246 bb – up 100 mb),
ending stocks‐to‐use (9.2% ‐ up f …
December 3, 2015
Grain Market Outlook
ely from a year ago – with export
sales competition occurring in what can be termed a “buyer’s market”, and c) World wheat ending stocks
would be record high, w … ecord high, with percent ending stocks‐to‐use at their highes … s, and 2.052 billion bushels (bb) production / 2.930 bb total supplies. The USDA also
forecast 180 million bushels (mb) feed & residual use, 800 mb of exports (down 50 mb), 2.019 mb of total use
(down 50 mb), 911 mb ending stocks (up 50 mb), and 45.1% ending‐ …
May 24, 2018
Grain Market Outlook
… pplies in terms
of reduced ending stocks and percent ending stocks‐to‐use. Improved U.S … e markedly below
the 14.040 billion bushel (bb) forecast by the USDA – down to say 13.50‐13.75 bb or less, then U.S. corn ending
stocks would likely fall to 1.4 …
April 26, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
such as
Argentina and parts of Brazil. The current market oversupply situation is illustrated by 28% growth over a two
year period in World soybean stocks, from 61.8 mmt (22.4% stocks/use) in the MY 2013/14 u …
July 23, 2015
Grain Market Outlook
rade would be down moderately from a year ago ‐ with
some improvement in U.S. exports from the 15 year low in MY 2014/15, and c) World wheat ending stocks
would be record high, w … … bb) production (up 27 million bushels or ‘mb’ from June), 3.031 bb total
supplies (up 58 mb), 950 mb exports (up 25 mb), 200 mb feed & residual use (up 5 mb), 2.189 bb total use (up
30 mb), 842 mb end stocks (up 28 mb), with 38.5% …
March 17, 2015
Grain Market Outlook
… Crop” MY 2014/15: The USDA made several significant changes in its
forecast of U.S. corn usage and ending stocks in the current 2014/15 m … 5.4% from 14.686 bb last year. Projected MY 2014/15 total corn usage of
13.695 bb (up 50 mb …
September 28, 2017
Grain Market Outlook
hum and corn markets from these potential disruptions is difficult to anticipate or predict.
4. USDA Supply‐Demand Forecast for “New Crop” MY 2017/18
The USDA has projected of 2017 U.S. sorghum plantings of 5.987 ma, harvested acres of 5.311 ma, and
yields of 69.8 bu/ac (vs 77.9 bu/ac in 2016 and 76.0 bu/ac in 2015), resulting in a 2017 U.S. grain sorghum
production of forecast to be 371 mb. This size of a 2017 U.S. grain sorghum crop is the lowest in five years,
being down from 480 mb in 2016, 597 mb in 2015, 433 mb in 2014, and 392 mb in 2013.
With forecast “new crop” MY 2017/18 total supplies of 399 mb, total use of 370 mb, and projected ending
stocks of 29 mb (7.94% S/U), U …
December 18, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
nded higher. The USDA projected marginally larger World wheat
production, ending stocks and ending … than a year ago but still the third highest on record, and c) World wheat ending stocks and percent
ending …