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September 21, 2017
Grain Market Outlook
8. In what is
exceedingly good news for the World soybean market, total use has also increased along with production, to
329.8 mmt in “old crop” MY 2016/17, and to a projected record high of 344.3 mmt in “new crop” MY 2017/18.
The degree of “abundance” or “large quantities” in World soybean ending stocks have been a key issue …
January 24, 2019
Grain Marketing Presentations
Acreage
4) U.S. Soybean Usage in “Current” MY 2018/19 … 1/17/2019)
U.S. Soybean Use & End Stocks
Domestic Crush
Exports
EndStocks
5) “Large” U.S. Soybean …
January 25, 2019
Grain Marketing Presentations
Acreage
4) U.S. Soybean Usage in “Current” MY 2018/19 … 1/17/2019)
U.S. Soybean Use & End Stocks
Domestic Crush
Exports
EndStocks
5) “Large” U.S. Soybean …
February 13, 2019
Grain Market Outlook
Introduction – An Overview of the U.S. Corn Market & USDA Reports
Corn Market Overview
While the U.S. and World corn market has adequate supplies at this time, ending stocks have been
trending lowe … …
December 1, 2018 U.S. grain stocks levels, the 2019 Winter Wheat & Canola Seedings report, the February
2019 Crop Production report, and the 2018 Annual Crop Production Summary report
(https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/Calendar/reports_by_date.php)
The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) also released it’s February 2019 reports on World
Agricultural Production, and separate reports on World Markets and Trade for Grain and Oilseeds
(https://www.fas.usda.gov/data‐analysis/scheduled‐reports‐2019).
2 …
June 15, 2015
Grain Market Outlook
cond official WASDE forecast of U.S. corn supply‐
demand and prices for the “new crop” 2015/16 marketing year in the June 10th report. The USDA maintained
its projection of lower production and marginally lower ending stocks, stocks‐to‐use, and U.S. price … 15/16 are
up from 15.472 bb in “current” MY 2014/15. Projected MY 2015/16 total corn usage of 13.760 bb is a recor …
December 24, 2014
Grain Market Outlook
… ested acreage of
7.213 million acres or ‘ma’, and 6.174 ma, respectively, and a 2014 U.S. yield of 66.1 bu/acre. The USDA
projected U.S. sorghum total supplies of 442 mb, up 9.4% from 404 mb last year. Projected MY 2014/15 total
sorghum usage of 405 mb (up 35 mb vs … residual use of 95 mb (up
7 mb vs last year). “Current crop” ending stocks are forecast at 37 mb …
November 21, 2017
Grain Market Outlook
ovide updated 2017 U.S. corn production numbers in its upcoming January 12, 2018 USDA Crop
Production report.
It continues to be true that any significant corn futures or cash market price rallies through winter 2017‐
2018 on into early Spring 2018 are likely to be limited by ending stocks of U.S. corn in the 2.2 …
March 22, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
erican and U.S. soybean crops. The current market oversupply situation is illustrated by 28% growth in
World soybean stocks from 61.7 mmt (22.4% stocks/use) in the 2013/14 marke … ting year up to 78.9 mmt
(25.0% stocks/use) in the “current cr … pward trend in World soybean production (up 7.3% annually) has
“out‐paced” the increase in World soybean use (up 6.0% per year), leading to record World soybean ending
stocks and growth in percent ending …
January 15, 2016
Grain Marketing Presentations
“short” vs “abundant” Stocks/Use
Use = f(PricesUsage affected conversely by “high” … Market”
• Record World Supplies & Usage in MY 2015/16
• Varying … “buyer’s
market” until World stocks eventually “tighten up”
o …
May 18, 2015
Grain Market Outlook
… tion and 15.472 bb total supplies in “current” MY 2014/15. Projected MY 2015/16 total corn usage of
13.760 bb is a reco … and feed and residual use of
5.300 bb (up 50 mb vs last year). Ending stocks are forecast at 1.746 bb …