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October 6, 2017
2017 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
outlook … roeconomic and Interest Rate Outlook
2017 Agricultural Lenders … …
October 1, 2019
2019 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
outlook … croeconomy and Interest Rate Outlook
Ag Lenders Conference
Octob … n because of a nearly inverted yield curve.
WILL THE UNITED STATES ENTER INTO A RECESSION?
Consumption continues to climb.
Current labor markets bode well for future wage increases but there are concerns on the horizon.
Employment Level: Part‐time Work for Economic ReasonsThousands …
2018 Extension Outlook Conference
outlook … Summer Extension Outlook | August 2018
Dairy Situation … August 2018
Dairy Situation & Outlook
Katelyn McCullock, Senior …
October 3, 2016
2016 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
outlook … roeconomic and Interest Rate Outlook
2016 Ag Lenders Conference
Brian C. BriggemanProfessor and Director of the Arthur Capper Cooperative Center
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Actual
Real GDP Growth (United States)Annualized percent change from previous quarter
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Wall Street Journal (WSJ) September 2016 Forecast Survey (Average)
WSJForecast(Sept)
The economic recovery continues to struggle to find its footing.
• …
August 1, 2023
Breakout Sessions
outlook … Macroeconomic Outlook and Interest Rates
Risk and Profit Conference
Brian C. Briggeman, Ph.D.Professor and Director
August 17th … J‐21
10‐year Treasury Yield minus 2‐year Treasury Yield
Source: U.S. Treasury Department
An inverted yield curve suggests a U.S. recession is on the horizon.
Percent
Why has the U.S., at least to this point, avoided a recession?
6
52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
Jan‐
48
Jan‐
50
Jan‐
52
Jan‐
54
Jan‐
56
Jan‐
58
Jan‐
60
Jan‐
62
Jan‐
64
Jan‐
66
Jan‐
68
Jan‐
70
Jan‐
72
Jan‐
74
Jan‐
76
Jan‐
78
Jan‐
80
Jan‐
82
Jan‐
84
Jan‐
86
Jan‐
88
Jan‐
90
Jan‐
92
Jan‐
94
Jan‐
96
Jan‐
98
Jan‐
00
Jan‐
02
Jan‐
04
Jan‐
06
Jan‐
08
Jan‐
10
Jan‐
12
Jan‐
14
Jan‐
16
Jan‐
18
Jan‐
20
Jan‐
22
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Labor force participation has evolved over time, which has implications for future U.S. economic growth.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Percent
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
The labor market remains tight, and wages are not keeping up with inflation.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Total Nonfarm Job Openings (right axis)
Level in Thousands …
August 1, 2023
2023 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
outlook … Macroeconomic Outlook and Interest Rates
Risk and Profit Conference
Brian C. Briggeman, Ph.D.Professor and Director
August 17th … J‐21
10‐year Treasury Yield minus 2‐year Treasury Yield
Source: U.S. Treasury Department
An inverted yield curve suggests a U.S. recession is on the horizon.
Percent
Why has the U.S., at least to this point, avoided a recession?
6
52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
Jan‐
48
Jan‐
50
Jan‐
52
Jan‐
54
Jan‐
56
Jan‐
58
Jan‐
60
Jan‐
62
Jan‐
64
Jan‐
66
Jan‐
68
Jan‐
70
Jan‐
72
Jan‐
74
Jan‐
76
Jan‐
78
Jan‐
80
Jan‐
82
Jan‐
84
Jan‐
86
Jan‐
88
Jan‐
90
Jan‐
92
Jan‐
94
Jan‐
96
Jan‐
98
Jan‐
00
Jan‐
02
Jan‐
04
Jan‐
06
Jan‐
08
Jan‐
10
Jan‐
12
Jan‐
14
Jan‐
16
Jan‐
18
Jan‐
20
Jan‐
22
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Labor force participation has evolved over time, which has implications for future U.S. economic growth.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Percent
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
The labor market remains tight, and wages are not keeping up with inflation.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Total Nonfarm Job Openings (right axis)
Level in Thousands …
September 1, 2023
2023 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
outlook … Macroeconomic Outlook and Interest Rates
Ag Lenders Conference
Brian C. Briggeman, Ph.D.Professor and Director
September 26th … J‐21
10‐year Treasury Yield minus 2‐year Treasury Yield
Source: U.S. Treasury Department
An inverted yield curve suggests a U.S. recession is on the horizon.
Percent
Why has the U.S., at least to this point, avoided a recession?
6
52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
Jan‐
48
Jan‐
50
Jan‐
52
Jan‐
54
Jan‐
56
Jan‐
58
Jan‐
60
Jan‐
62
Jan‐
64
Jan‐
66
Jan‐
68
Jan‐
70
Jan‐
72
Jan‐
74
Jan‐
76
Jan‐
78
Jan‐
80
Jan‐
82
Jan‐
84
Jan‐
86
Jan‐
88
Jan‐
90
Jan‐
92
Jan‐
94
Jan‐
96
Jan‐
98
Jan‐
00
Jan‐
02
Jan‐
04
Jan‐
06
Jan‐
08
Jan‐
10
Jan‐
12
Jan‐
14
Jan‐
16
Jan‐
18
Jan‐
20
Jan‐
22
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Labor force participation has evolved over time, which has implications for future U.S. economic growth.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Percent
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
The labor market remains tight, and wages are not keeping up with inflation.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Total Nonfarm Job Openings (right axis)
Level in Thousands …
2018 Extension Outlook Conference
outlook … 2018 Farm Bill Outlook
Bradley D. Lubben, Ph.D.
Extension … 1970-2018
Farm Bill Budget Outlook
Big 4 account for 99 …
February 24, 2025
Prices and Price Forecasts
outlook … Fertilizer Price Outlook - February 21, 2025 - … 1
Fertilizer Price Outlook
February 2025 Edition
Gregg …
August 1, 2024
Breakout Sessions
outlook … Net Farm Income Outlook
2024 and 2025 Es+mates
Gregg … NASS)
•
Prices based on futures market (August and beyond …