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January 8, 2014
Macro and Global Economic Perspectives
outlook … Macroeconomic and Agricultural
Outlook
K-State Ag Profitability … Purchases
Liquidity to Key Credit Markets
Lending to Financial Institutions
Long …
December 19, 2017
Farming for the Future Presentations
outlook … oeconomic and Interest
Rate Outlook
Farming for the FutureSali … …
April 25, 2018
outlook … Beef Industry Outlook
IndustryOutlook Conf.
April 25, 2018 Chicago … TonsorGlynn
Overarching Beef Industry
Economic Outlook
• Supplies
– Beef Production …
August 1, 2017
Breakout Sessions
outlook … Presenters
3. Interest Rate Outlook
Brian Briggeman
Brian … expecting the Federal Open
Market Committee to continue to …
October 6, 2017
2017 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
outlook … roeconomic and Interest Rate Outlook
2017 Agricultural Lenders … …
October 1, 2019
2019 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
outlook … croeconomy and Interest Rate Outlook
Ag Lenders Conference
Octob … n because of a nearly inverted yield curve.
WILL THE UNITED STATES ENTER INTO A RECESSION?
Consumption continues to climb.
Current labor markets bode well for future wage increases but there are concerns on the horizon.
Employment Level: Part‐time Work for Economic ReasonsThousands …
2018 Extension Outlook Conference
outlook … Summer Extension Outlook | August 2018
Dairy Situation … August 2018
Dairy Situation & Outlook
Katelyn McCullock, Senior …
October 3, 2016
2016 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
outlook … roeconomic and Interest Rate Outlook
2016 Ag Lenders Conference
Brian C. BriggemanProfessor and Director of the Arthur Capper Cooperative Center
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2012
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Actual
Real GDP Growth (United States)Annualized percent change from previous quarter
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Wall Street Journal (WSJ) September 2016 Forecast Survey (Average)
WSJForecast(Sept)
The economic recovery continues to struggle to find its footing.
• …
August 1, 2023
Breakout Sessions
outlook … Macroeconomic Outlook and Interest Rates
Risk and Profit Conference
Brian C. Briggeman, Ph.D.Professor and Director
August 17th … J‐21
10‐year Treasury Yield minus 2‐year Treasury Yield
Source: U.S. Treasury Department
An inverted yield curve suggests a U.S. recession is on the horizon.
Percent
Why has the U.S., at least to this point, avoided a recession?
6
52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
Jan‐
48
Jan‐
50
Jan‐
52
Jan‐
54
Jan‐
56
Jan‐
58
Jan‐
60
Jan‐
62
Jan‐
64
Jan‐
66
Jan‐
68
Jan‐
70
Jan‐
72
Jan‐
74
Jan‐
76
Jan‐
78
Jan‐
80
Jan‐
82
Jan‐
84
Jan‐
86
Jan‐
88
Jan‐
90
Jan‐
92
Jan‐
94
Jan‐
96
Jan‐
98
Jan‐
00
Jan‐
02
Jan‐
04
Jan‐
06
Jan‐
08
Jan‐
10
Jan‐
12
Jan‐
14
Jan‐
16
Jan‐
18
Jan‐
20
Jan‐
22
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Labor force participation has evolved over time, which has implications for future U.S. economic growth.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Percent
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
The labor market remains tight, and wages are not keeping up with inflation.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Total Nonfarm Job Openings (right axis)
Level in Thousands …
August 1, 2023
2023 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
outlook … Macroeconomic Outlook and Interest Rates
Risk and Profit Conference
Brian C. Briggeman, Ph.D.Professor and Director
August 17th … J‐21
10‐year Treasury Yield minus 2‐year Treasury Yield
Source: U.S. Treasury Department
An inverted yield curve suggests a U.S. recession is on the horizon.
Percent
Why has the U.S., at least to this point, avoided a recession?
6
52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
Jan‐
48
Jan‐
50
Jan‐
52
Jan‐
54
Jan‐
56
Jan‐
58
Jan‐
60
Jan‐
62
Jan‐
64
Jan‐
66
Jan‐
68
Jan‐
70
Jan‐
72
Jan‐
74
Jan‐
76
Jan‐
78
Jan‐
80
Jan‐
82
Jan‐
84
Jan‐
86
Jan‐
88
Jan‐
90
Jan‐
92
Jan‐
94
Jan‐
96
Jan‐
98
Jan‐
00
Jan‐
02
Jan‐
04
Jan‐
06
Jan‐
08
Jan‐
10
Jan‐
12
Jan‐
14
Jan‐
16
Jan‐
18
Jan‐
20
Jan‐
22
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Labor force participation has evolved over time, which has implications for future U.S. economic growth.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Percent
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
The labor market remains tight, and wages are not keeping up with inflation.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Total Nonfarm Job Openings (right axis)
Level in Thousands …