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September 1, 2023
2023 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
outlook … Macroeconomic Outlook and Interest Rates
Ag Lenders Conference
Brian C. Briggeman, Ph.D.Professor and Director
September 26th … J‐21
10‐year Treasury Yield minus 2‐year Treasury Yield
Source: U.S. Treasury Department
An inverted yield curve suggests a U.S. recession is on the horizon.
Percent
Why has the U.S., at least to this point, avoided a recession?
6
52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
Jan‐
48
Jan‐
50
Jan‐
52
Jan‐
54
Jan‐
56
Jan‐
58
Jan‐
60
Jan‐
62
Jan‐
64
Jan‐
66
Jan‐
68
Jan‐
70
Jan‐
72
Jan‐
74
Jan‐
76
Jan‐
78
Jan‐
80
Jan‐
82
Jan‐
84
Jan‐
86
Jan‐
88
Jan‐
90
Jan‐
92
Jan‐
94
Jan‐
96
Jan‐
98
Jan‐
00
Jan‐
02
Jan‐
04
Jan‐
06
Jan‐
08
Jan‐
10
Jan‐
12
Jan‐
14
Jan‐
16
Jan‐
18
Jan‐
20
Jan‐
22
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Labor force participation has evolved over time, which has implications for future U.S. economic growth.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Percent
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
The labor market remains tight, and wages are not keeping up with inflation.
Labor Force Participation (left axis)
Total Nonfarm Job Openings (right axis)
Level in Thousands …
2018 Extension Outlook Conference
outlook … 2018 Farm Bill Outlook
Bradley D. Lubben, Ph.D.
Extension … 1970-2018
Farm Bill Budget Outlook
Big 4 account for 99 …
February 24, 2025
Prices and Price Forecasts
outlook … Fertilizer Price Outlook - February 21, 2025 - … 1
Fertilizer Price Outlook
February 2025 Edition
Gregg …
August 1, 2024
Breakout Sessions
outlook … Net Farm Income Outlook
2024 and 2025 Es+mates
Gregg … NASS)
•
Prices based on futures market (August and beyond …
August 1, 2022
2022 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings, General Sessions
outlook … Commodity
Commodity Program Payments and Marketing Loan Benefits, 2023 to 2032 … AMS
Dairy Farmers May Consider Marketing Order Changes
Change In Class …
January 31, 2024
Prices and Price Forecasts
outlook … Fertilizer Price Outlook for 2024
Gregg Ibendahl
January … forecast uses the futures market price of both oil and corn …
October 10, 2024
Kansas Landowners Conference
outlook … Agriculture Economy Outlook
Joe Parcell, Professor
Director … https://fapri.missouri.edu/
Kansas Farm Income Outlook
Rural & Farm Finance Policy …
2018 Extension Outlook Conference
outlook … KANSAS CITY – OMAHA BRANCH
Outlook for the U.S. Economy
With … the Ag Sector
Extension Outlook Conference - August 14, 2018
Cortney …
August 1, 2023
2023 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
outlook …
Twitter: @TonsorGlynn
BEEF-CATTLE OUTLOOK
http://www.agmanager.info/about/contributors/individual/tonsor.asp
Take‐Home Summary
1.Supply Dynamics Supporting Higher Cattle Prices
2.Consumer Meat Demand Mixed To‐Date in 23’
Quarterly Forecasts … LMIC: 8/16/23)
Data Source: Livestock Marketing Information Center
% Chg …
October 6, 2017
outlook … Cattle & Beef Outlook & Industry Overview
Glynn … 2017(1000 Head)
Livestock Marketing Information CenterData Source …