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September 17, 2018
Grain Marketing Presentations
2018 - 2019
2018 KSU Risk & Profit Conference
Manhattan, Kansas
DANIEL … KCOmaha Branch
Grain Market Events to Come ….
1) 2018 U.S … HRW wheat $’s in 2018?
o Profits for 2018 Kansas HRW Wheat …
October 22, 2012
76-100%
5. I don’t know
Events Summary
• U.S. State-by-State … agreements
• Live Trade Events
– May 11’: Australia … freely.
• CA actual vote (Nov 2008):63% FOR
• Survey national …
October 7, 2011
Operating Cost by Region, 2008-2010
Do some regions have … Operating Cost by Region, 2008-2010
Will current drought … retention…
Cow-calf profitability drivers…
• Analysis …
June 9, 2012
Tonsor)
2
Events Summary
• State-by-State … available for analysis
• June 2008; 1,001 surveys across U.S … crate/stall use
• Oct./Nov. 2008; 2,001 surveys across U.S …
August 1, 2022
2022 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
Professor
2022 KSU Risk and Profit Conference
Alumni Center … Protection
https://agmanager.info/events/risk-and-profit-conference/previous-
conferen … ce-proceedings/2017-risk-and-profit-conference/14
https://www.marginprotection.com/
What …
December 30, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
The total futures carrying charge or “term spread” between MARCH 2017 and JULY 2017 CME Kansas
Wheat futures contracts on Wednesday, December 28th was $0.22 ½ per bushel (i.e., $4.32 for JULY 2017 less
$4.09 ½ for MARCH 2017 Wheat), or $0.05625 per bushel per month. This compares to commercial storage
charges in Kansas grain elevators in the range of $0.04 to $0.05 per bushel per month – before interest or
additional handling costs or other discounts are accounted for.
Given these futures carrying charges, commercial storage of wheat from MARCH 2017 to JULY 2017 would
at least break even and/or cover costs (i.e., carry of $0.05625 /bu/mo is greater than $0.04‐$0.05 /bu/mo
storage cost) IF local cash wheat basis levels would at least stay unchanged and not weaken further over the
March‐July 2017 period. Along these same lines of reasoning, it may be profitable to actually place a stor …
September 1, 2011
Animal ID & Traceability
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
E
xp
o
rt
s … 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
M
ar
ke
t S
ha
re … Brazil
Australia
US
Argentina
Source: Foreign Ag Service, USDA
Canada
New …
August 1, 2021
General Sessions
OUTLOOK
https://www.agmanager.info/events/risk‐and‐profit‐conference
Quarterly Forecasts … 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 … 2021
Data Source: USDA‐AMS
Livestock Marketing Information Center
Historical and Projected Kansas Feedlot Net Returns (as of 8/12/21’) (http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/outlook/newsletters/FinishingReturns/default.asp)
Representative Barometer for Trends in Profitability
June 21’: +$12/steer
LOTS OF INDUSTRY ISSUES – …
2021 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
OUTLOOK
https://www.agmanager.info/events/risk‐and‐profit‐conference
Quarterly Forecasts … 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 … 2021
Data Source: USDA‐AMS
Livestock Marketing Information Center
Historical and Projected Kansas Feedlot Net Returns (as of 8/12/21’) (http://www.agmanager.info/livestock/marketing/outlook/newsletters/FinishingReturns/default.asp)
Representative Barometer for Trends in Profitability
June 21’: +$12/steer
LOTS OF INDUSTRY ISSUES – …
August 28, 2018
Grain Marketing Presentations
KCOmaha Branch
Grain Market Events to Come ….
1) 2018 U.S … HRW wheat $’s in 2018?
o Profits for 2018 Kansas HRW Wheat … Crops
More Grain Market Events to Anticipate….
3) 2019 …