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March 13, 2017
Cattle Finishing Returns
1
Historical and Projected Kansas Feedlot Net Returns
Glynn Tonsor (gtonsor@ksu.edu)
Kansas State University Department of Agricultural Economics ‐ March 2017
This article presents estimated net returns of cattle finishing operations as of March 10, 2017. The calculation and
projection process was updated in July of 2012.1 This process reflects a cash market situation without price risk
management strategies being implemented. Each month updates are made to reflect the most recent feedlot
closeout estimates and to reflect current market conditions.
Close‐out Calculations
The most recent Focus on Feedlots survey provides information on l …
April 12, 2017
Cattle Finishing Returns
recent Focus on Feedlots survey provides information on lots … lag in Focus on Feedlots survey information, market information …
May 15, 2017
Cattle Finishing Returns
recent Focus on Feedlots survey provides information on lots … lag in Focus on Feedlots survey information, market information …
June 16, 2017
Cattle Finishing Returns
recent Focus on Feedlots survey provides information on lots … lag in Focus on Feedlots survey information, market information …
August 14, 2017
Cattle Finishing Returns
recent Focus on Feedlots survey provides information on lots … lag in Focus on Feedlots survey information, market information …
September 12, 2017
Cattle Finishing Returns
recent Focus on Feedlots survey provides information on lots … lag in Focus on Feedlots survey information, market information …
October 6, 2017
2017 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
Expectations of buyers/sellers
Land Values
Where do we get information on land values?KS Ag Stats Service◦ Annual survey series◦ Dropped CRD‐level estimates in 2013◦ … Long‐run elasticity is 96.9%
At a net farm income per acre of $46, the projected long‐run Kansas (real) land price is $999, a decline of about 50%
Kansas Land Values
Red (1962‐2017)Green (1962‐2009)Purple (1962‐2003)
31.6% decline
47.6% decline
9.8% decline
Others’ Observations…
Others’ Observations
Responses to the survey from April webinar◦ …
October 11, 2017
Cattle Finishing Returns
recent Focus on Feedlots survey provides information on lots … lag in Focus on Feedlots survey information, market information …
November 13, 2017
Cattle Finishing Returns
recent Focus on Feedlots survey provides information on lots … lag in Focus on Feedlots survey information, market information …
December 12, 2017
Cattle Finishing Returns
recent Focus on Feedlots survey provides information on lots … lag in Focus on Feedlots survey information, market information …