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March 3, 2023
https://www.buzzsprout.com/1995747/11686340
https://www.agmanager.info/livestock-meat/meat-
demand/monthly-export-meat-demand-indices-usdabls-data
https://www.agmanager.info/livestock-meat/meat-
demand/monthly-meat-demand-monitor-survey-data
https://www.agmanager … monthly-meat-demand-monitor-survey-data
https://www.agmanager …
August 1, 2023
Breakout Sessions
18th, 2023
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2024
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Real GDP Percent Change from Preceding Quarter
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Wall Street Journal (WSJ) July 2024 Forecast Survey (Average)
WSJForecast(July)
U.S. economic growth has remained resilient amid rising interest rates and higher inflation.
When will the U.S. officially enter a recession?
3
A leading indicator of the U.S. entering a recession tends to be an inverted yield curve.
Yield
(%)
Maturity
Normal Yield Curve
3 mo …
August 1, 2023
2023 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
18th, 2023
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2021
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2021
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2022
:Q1
2022
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2023
:Q1
2023
:Q3
2024
:Q1
Real GDP Percent Change from Preceding Quarter
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Wall Street Journal (WSJ) July 2024 Forecast Survey (Average)
WSJForecast(July)
U.S. economic growth has remained resilient amid rising interest rates and higher inflation.
When will the U.S. officially enter a recession?
3
A leading indicator of the U.S. entering a recession tends to be an inverted yield curve.
Yield
(%)
Maturity
Normal Yield Curve
3 mo …
September 1, 2023
2023 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
27th, 2023
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2008
:Q3
2009
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2009
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2010
:Q1
2010
:Q3
2011
:Q1
2011
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2012
:Q1
2012
:Q3
2013
:Q1
2013
:Q3
2014
:Q1
2014
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2015
:Q1
2015
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2016
:Q1
2016
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2017
:Q1
2017
:Q3
2018
:Q1
2018
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2019
:Q1
2019
:Q3
2020
:Q1
2020
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2021
:Q1
2021
:Q3
2022
:Q1
2022
:Q3
2023
:Q1
2023
:Q3
2024
:Q1
Real GDP Percent Change from Preceding Quarter
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and Wall Street Journal (WSJ) July 2024 Forecast Survey (Average)
WSJForecast(July)
U.S. economic growth has remained resilient amid rising interest rates and higher inflation.
When will the U.S. officially enter a recession?
3
A leading indicator of the U.S. entering a recession tends to be an inverted yield curve.
Yield
(%)
Maturity
Normal Yield Curve
3 mo …
September 18, 2024
future?
https://www.agmanager.info/livestock-meat/meat-
demand/monthly-meat-demand-monitor-survey-data
https://www.agmanage … https://www.agmanager.info/livestock-meat/meat-
demand/monthly-meat-demand-monitor-survey-data
https://www.agmanage … https://www.agmanager.info/livestock-meat/meat-
demand/monthly-meat-demand-monitor-survey-data
“IT IS TO A …
August 7, 2025
year?
https://www.beefboard.org/2025/07/23
/the-drive-in-five-episode-16/
28
Monthly surveys & experiments > 2,000
U.S … https://www.agmanager.info/livestock-meat/meat-demand/
monthly-meat-demand-monitor-survey-data
https://www.agmanage … https://www.agmanager.info/livestock-meat/meat-
demand/monthly-meat-demand-monitor-survey-data
More information …
June 2, 2016
Grain Market Outlook
Page | 3
I. U.S. Wheat Market Situation & Outlook
I‐A. May 10th WASDE & March 31st Prospective Plantings & Stocks Reports
On May 10th the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) released its May 2016 Crop
Production report – containing U.S. winter wheat harvested acreage, yield and production forecasts for 2016 –
with information specific to the 2016 U.S. hard red winter (HRW) wheat, soft red winter (SRW) wheat, and
white winter (WW) wheat crops.
The NASS 2016 U.S. winter wheat production forecast was derived by USDA using a combination of a) an
objective yield survey, and b) a farmer operator survey – both conducted during …
March 30, 2018
Grain Market Outlook
Page | 4
I. USDA Reports, Soybean Futures, Seasonal Prices & U.S. Dollar
I‐a. USDA Outlook, WASDE, Prospective Plantings, & Grain Stocks Reports
On February 23rd the USDA Office of the Chief Economist (OCE) released its projections of U.S. Grain and
Oilseeds Outlook for “new crop” MY 2018/19 at the 94th annual Agricultural Outlook Forum in Arlington,
Virginia. The “new crop” 2018/19 marketing year for U.S. soybeans will begin on September 1, 2018 and will
last through August 31, 2019. The next USDA U.S. soybean production and supply‐demand estimates for the
“new crop” 2018/19 marketing year will be released in the May 10th USDA WASDE report, and will be based
on USDA Economic Research Service (ERS) projections from the March 29th USDA Prospective Plantings
Report acreage report, using historic harvested‐to‐planted acreage relationships, and a selected 2018 trend
yield.
On March 8th the USDA World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB) released its March 2018 World
Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report – containing U.S. and World soybean supply‐
demand and price projections for the 2015/16, 2016/17, and “old crop” 2017/18 marketing years (MY). “Old
crop” MY 2017/18 for U.S. soybeans began on September 1, 2017 and will last through August 31, 2018.
On March 29th the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) released its Prospective Plantings
and Grain Stocks reports. Both the Prospective Plantings report and on‐farm portion of the Grain Stocks
report are defined by NASS as “probability surveys” that were conducted du …
October 3, 2016
2016 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
reau of Economic Analysis and Wall Street Journal (WSJ) September 2016 Forecast Survey (Average)
WSJForecast(Sept)
The economic recovery continues to struggle to find its footing.
• …