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December 4, 2013
Expansion Discussion
• Expected Profit
– 2014 LMIC Forecast 2X 04’ & 13’
• … ERS Total Costs/cow: 2002 ‐ $974; 2008 ‐ $1,121; 2012 ‐ $1,317
•Profit Risk
– Context on environment of price variability…
• …
September 30, 2021
OUTLOOK
http://www.agmanager.info/
about/contributors/individual
/tonsor.asp
Quarterly Forecasts (LMIC … 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 … 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 …
October 1, 2021
2021 Crop Insurance Workshop Presentations
OUTLOOK
http://www.agmanager.info/
about/contributors/individual
/tonsor.asp
Quarterly Forecasts (LMIC … 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 … 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 …
August 1, 2019
General Sessions
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 … 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 … https://www.rma.usda.gov/News-Room/Press/Press-Releases/2019-News/USDA-Announces-Enhancements-to-Livestock-and-Dairy-Insurance-Programs)
https://www.agmanager.info/k-state-feeder-
cattle-risk-management-tool
https://www.fsa.usda.gov/programs-and-
services/disaster-assistance-program/livestock-
indemnity/index
The …
May 1, 2014
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
$ Per Cow
Historically … operation at any time during 2008.
Source: USDA, Economic … Research Service using USDA’s 2008 Agricultural Resource Management …
January 31, 2019
Land Rental
Rates
afford to pay, given expected profitability in 2019. They do not
necessarily … ultimately adjust to if farm profitability remains low.
Rental Rate … Rental Rate Market Overview
Profitability in the Kansas farm sector …
September 1, 2023
2023 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
OUTLOOK
http://www.agmanager.info/about/contributors/individual/tonsor.asp
Take‐Home Summary
1.Supply Dynamics Supporting Higher Cattle Prices
2.Consumer Meat Demand Mixed in 23’ & Key to “Peak Prices” This Cycle
Quarterly Forecasts … 312-316
C-N-0201/31/23
1996, 35.32
2004, 32.53
2014, 28.96
2019, 31.69
2023, 28.92
25
27
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1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023
Mil. Head
JANUARY …
General Sessions
2012 Risk andProfit Conference
General Session … handling, food safety, and price risk
management and analysis … which will notably
influence profitability in coming months and year …
August 1, 2021
General Sessions
OUTLOOK
https://www.agmanager.info/events/risk‐and‐profit‐conference
Quarterly Forecasts … 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 … Want Feeder Cattle Price, Basis, & VOG Projections?Use BeefBasis.com
KSU‐Feeder Cattle Risk Management Toolhttps://www …
2021 Risk and Profit Conference Recordings
OUTLOOK
https://www.agmanager.info/events/risk‐and‐profit‐conference
Quarterly Forecasts … 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 … Want Feeder Cattle Price, Basis, & VOG Projections?Use BeefBasis.com
KSU‐Feeder Cattle Risk Management Toolhttps://www …