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October 1, 2018
2018 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
Expectations of buyers/sellers
Land Values
Where do we get information on land values?KS Ag Stats Service◦ Annual survey series◦ Dropped CRD‐level estimates in 2013◦ … USDA
Land Model Results
21.4% decline
Long‐Run Growth
Kansas Land Values
Red (1962‐2017)Green (1962‐2009)Purple (1962‐2003)
31.6% decline
47.6% decline
9.8% decline
Rental Rates
2017 USDA Pasture Rents
2017 USDA Non‐Irrigated Rents
Public Information
Limited public information on rental rates◦ Surveys (USDA, some KS Counties)◦ …
April 16, 2020
Land Buying and Valuing
of K-State estimates and survey estimates from USDA are
shown … are based upon an annual survey of agricultural
producers …
2020 Ag Lenders Conference Presentations
2018)
Nontraditional finance is not related to financial status: national implement dealer financing
Discussion: nontraditional lender “survey”
• Business appears to be growing for many nontraditional lenders• … Make tracking financial stress in agricultural more challenging
Moving forward
Nontraditional financeResearch on UCC filings (equipment lending trends)KFMA data analysisSpecial issue of Agricultural Finance Review
Other areasSecondary debt markets in agriculture?Extend lender surveys to nontraditional lenders …
February 7, 2022
Prices and Price Forecasts
purchased by farmers. NASS uses a survey of 2,000 thousand
producers … these indexes are based on survey data, there is some lag in …
February 9, 2022
Prices and Price Forecasts
University of Michigan
monthly survey of inflation expectations … “https://www.eia.gov/
dnav/pet/pet_pri_spt_s1_m.htm
"Surveys of Consumers, University …
August 1, 2023
Breakout Sessions
Soil data: USDA-NRCS Soil Survey• Historical weather data … literature and USDA-NRCS Soil Survey
• The IFSM is a process-level …
October 9, 2023
Prices and Price Forecasts
University of Michigan monthly
survey of inflation expectations … “https://www.eia.gov/
dnav/pet/pet_pri_spt_s1_m.htm
“Surveys of Consumers, University …
January 31, 2024
Prices and Price Forecasts
University of Michigan monthly
survey of inflation expectations … “https://www.eia.gov/
dnav/pet/pet_pri_spt_s1_m.htm
“Surveys of Consumers, University …
August 5, 2024
Prices and Price Forecasts
purchased by farmers. NASS uses a survey of 2,000
thousand producers … these indexes are based on survey data, there is some lag in …
August 9, 2024
Prices and Price Forecasts
University of Michigan monthly
survey of inflation expectations … “https://www.eia.gov/
dnav/pet/pet_pri_spt_s1_m.htm
“Surveys of Consumers, University …