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KS Ag Stats Service
– Annual survey series
– Dropped CRD‐level
data for land values in
2010
– … KC Federal Reserve
– Quarterly survey of
bankers
– 10th District includes
CO, KS, NE, OK, WY and
parts of NM and MO
– … Potential problems with these data
– Surveys ask for an opinion (read: guess)
– …
problems with these data
– Surveys ask for an opinion (read … 2,178
$2,328
Available at: www.agmanager.info/farmmgt/land/lease
2012 Pasture … 1,414
$1,511
Available at: www.agmanager.info/farmmgt/land/lease
Land Model Results
• …
rental rates estimated by
surveys lagged the market and did … http://www.agmanager.info/farmmgt/land/lease). The basic premise … considered to be equitable if the income from the lease is shared …
December 27, 2016
Land Rental
Rates
Service (NASS)
had conducted a survey each year (www.nass.usda.gov … not have enough returned surveys to report a
statistically … though many people turn to survey reports, they can be misleading …
Breakout Sessions
20-21, 2015
AG LAND VALUE SURVEYS
2015 Cropland Values
2015 Pasture Values
Kansas Land Values
Source: USDA‐NASS
Rent‐to‐Land Value Ratio
Source: USDA‐NASS
MARKET‐BASED LAND VALUES
• … 9%
2014 Non‐Irrigated Land Values
$2,296
$2,060
$1,472
$3,239
$2,825
$2,852
$5,133
$3,888
$3,140
2014 Pasture Land Values
$1,385
$1,242
$887
$1,953
$1,703
$1,720
$3,095
$2,344
$1,893
2014 Irrigated Land Values
$5,970
$5,413
$3,389
‐‐‐
‐‐‐
$6,008
‐‐‐
‐‐‐
‐‐‐
RENTS AND NET FARM INCOME
Returns to Farming
Source: KS Farm Management Association
Updated …
April 6, 2016
Land Buying and Valuing
Porter Cattle Co.
NET FARM INCOME
Returns to Farming
Source: KS Farm Management Association
Updated … Actual land sales are not falling off as quickly
or dramatically as we expected
• Lender’s surveys and USDA surveys indicated
an expectations of lower land values
• …
January 28, 2015
Land Rental
Rates
http://www.agmanager.info/farmmgt/land/lease). The basic premise … http://www.agmanager.info/farmmgt/land/land_buy/default.asp … considered to be equitable if the income from the lease is shared …
February 11, 2015
Land Rental
Rates
http://www.agmanager.info/farmmgt/land/lease). The basic premise … considered to be equitable if the income from the lease is shared … http://www.agmanager.info/farmmgt/fmg/irrigated). The crop …
February 1, 2016
Leasing Papers
and Presentations
2016
RENTS AND NET FARM INCOME
Returns to Farming
Source: KS Farm Management Association
Updated … www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/Kansas/Publications/County_Estimates
Cash Rents
Source: USDA‐NASS
Rents Estimated from Surveys
•Survey results tend to lag the market
– …
March 1, 2013
Land Buying and Valuing
are based upon an annual survey of agricultural producers … operate. Historically, the
survey was conducted such that values … http://www.agmanager.info/farmmgt/fmg/land). There are several …